Alexander Shevchenko vs Jan Choinski Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Shevchenko's recent second serve performance shows a win rate of 45.48% of points, slightly lower than Choinski's 47.51%. Does this give Choinski a small edge? Yes, it might.
• In recent return game stats, Shevchenko outshines Choinski by winning 45.83% of opponent's second serve points compared to Choinski's 41.76%.
• When it comes to first serve return points, Shevchenko again leads with 27.61% against Choinski's 25.62%.
• Under pressure, Choinski demonstrates slightly better resilience by saving 58.19% of breakpoints, whereas Shevchenko saves 53.89%.
• Over the past year, Choinski has won 49.09% of matches, while Shevchenko stands at 41.27%, hinting at a slightly better overall form for Choinski.
• Both players excel on clay with a 62% win record. The grass surface is their weakness, but Choinski fares a bit worse with only a 17% win rate compared to Shevchenko's 20%.
• Shevchenko frequently competes in Main tour events with a 35.71% win rate; Choinski, on the other hand, has a 52.17% win rate at Challenger/ITF tournaments.
• Shevchenko faces tougher opponents with an average rank of 145.08, in contrast to the lower-ranked opposition for Choinski averaging 260.09.
• Both players perform equally well in deciding sets, winning 50% of them over the past 12 months.
• In converting break points, Choinski has an edge, succeeding 39.71% of the time compared to Shevchenko's 36.81%.

Editorial Prediction (June 12, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent statistics, both players show specific strengths; however, the nuances tell us more. Shevchenko, while having a slightly lower success rate on second serves, exhibits superior performance in return games, particularly against second serves. This indicates a strategic advantage when facing Choinski's serves.

Choinski's edged advantage in break point conversion and ability to save a higher percentage of break points makes him a tenacious contender, not to be underestimated. However, the difference in competition levels, where Shevchenko frequently competes with higher-ranked opponents, suggests he might adapt better to high-stakes scenarios.

Overall, while Choinski shows consistent results in lower-tier events, Shevchenko's experience and performance against stronger adversaries could prove decisive. Given these insights, the prediction leans slightly towards Shevchenko as the more likely victor in their upcoming match.